Category: Statistics
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What is FBM replacement value?
🚨💣 Pep Guardiola says it would cost Man City over €58M to replace Bernardo Silva in the market so they need big offers if they are to sell. @TimesSport pic.twitter.com/xmEVfGggON — Managing Barça (@ManagingBarca) August 4, 2023 With FBM replacement value we calculate what a club is to be expected to pay minimally to replace…
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Loyalty, recruitment, brain types and the ABC-model
Player agents often complain about the lack of loyalty of the players they have signed. They assume that loyalty is an inherent trait some players have and others don’t. Of course, it is painful to see one of your biggest talents sign with a different agency just before their big breakthrough. In most cases leaving…
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Davy Klaassen to Ajax
Based on the data for the 43 matches Klaassen played for Werder Bremen in season 19/20 & 20/21, he has: Based on the data for the 19/20 season Werder Bremen as a team had: Based on the data for the 19/20 season the Bundesliga has a FBM League Strength score of 123 points. (91% correlation)…
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Shadow team born this century anonymized
To track how we are doing in finding talent at a relative early age (20 years or younger, from 2024 on players need to be born 2004 or later), we publish our shadow team anonymized and keep track of how these players are doing. As soon as any of these players transfer to another club…
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Relative strength MLS
Here is the list of the relative strength of teams in the MLS based on their performance in the previous season according to data. If it were a simple competition than this would also be our prediction for the league table. Previously predictions like these have had a 80% correlation with the actual league table…
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Case study: Watford
Many scouts wonder why their advice is being ignored by the higher ups. The reason is that whatever scouting report they have drawn up, their report fails to answer the most important question: What is the probability that player X is able to contribute to the team? Time to define “analytics” for nba fans. At…
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Showcase Sheffield: Sander Berge or John Lundstram
What we do with FBM contribution statistics is calculate what the probability is that a player is able to contribute to a specific team. For a player can strengthen team A, but weaken team B. We do this for four scenarios: The best case. The most likely case. The worst case. The current form case,…
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What happened to the players of Sudamericano U15 2017?
This article is from 2019. But here is a 2024 update: As you can see the players whose FBM player score was higher than 5 seven years ago still stand out compared to the rest of the players. In 2017 we analyzed all youth players of the Sudamericano U15. Now, two years later, it is…
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Match preparation PSV vs FC Basel 23-7-2019
The FBM tool makes it easy to predict how upcoming matches will unfold. If we use the most recent starting XI we get the following. As soon as the actual starting XI we’ll update our FBM tool to see what the prediction is based on the actual lineup. The most important numbers are: PSV will…
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Why Răzvan Marin is a decent replacement for Frenkie de Jong
One of the questions that many people have when it comes to the upcoming 19/20 Eredivisie season is whether Răzvan Marin is a good replacement for Frenkie de Jong. In this article I want to show you how to answer that question using FBM statistics. Our approach consists of three steps: Subtract De Jong from…